Vala e madhe e rritjes s\u00eb \u00e7mimeve n\u00eb Gjermani \u00ebsht\u00eb thyer, por norma e inflacionit koh\u00ebt e fundit \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur. Cilat jan\u00eb shkaqet?
\nInflacioni n\u00eb Gjermani mbetet m\u00eb i lart\u00eb sesa \u00ebsht\u00eb pritur. Me nj\u00eb norm\u00eb prej 2.6 p\u00ebr qind, dhjetori solli rritjen e tret\u00eb radhazi dhe norm\u00ebn e dyt\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb t\u00eb inflacionit n\u00eb vitin 2024, njoftoi Zyra Federale e Statistikave n\u00eb Gjermani. Ekonomist\u00ebt aktualisht nuk presin nj\u00eb ulje t\u00eb ndjeshme t\u00eb \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb konsumit, por besojn\u00eb se nj\u00eb val\u00eb e re e madhe e rritjes s\u00eb \u00e7mimeve nuk ka gjasa.<\/p>\n
\u201cN\u00eb janar, inflacioni mund t\u00eb mbetet n\u00eb nj\u00eb nivel t\u00eb ngjash\u00ebm p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb \u00e7mimeve m\u00eb t\u00eb larta t\u00eb karburanteve dhe sh\u00ebrbimeve t\u00eb sigurimit,\u201d parashikon ekonomisti i Commerzbank J\u00f6rg Kr\u00e4mer. Ai shton: \u201cProblemi i inflacionit nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb zgjidhur ende.\u201d<\/p>\n
Michael Heise, ekonomist n\u00eb HQ Trust, nuk sheh ndonj\u00eb leht\u00ebsim p\u00ebr konsumator\u00ebt as n\u00eb janar. Rritja e taks\u00ebs s\u00eb dioksidit t\u00eb karbonit, rritja e \u00e7mimit t\u00eb bilet\u00ebs s\u00eb transportit publik, kostot n\u00eb rritje t\u00eb sigurimeve sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsore dhe sh\u00ebrbimeve ekonomike mund t\u00eb rezultojn\u00eb me nj\u00eb rritje t\u00eb \u00e7mimeve prej rreth 2.5 p\u00ebr qind, thot\u00eb ai.
\nInflacioni vjetor 2.2 p\u00ebr qind<\/p>\n
Pavar\u00ebsisht rritjes s\u00eb infoacionit n\u00eb dhjetor, inflacioni n\u00eb Gjermani ka r\u00ebn\u00eb duksh\u00ebm n\u00eb krahasim me vitet e kaluara. Sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave statistikore, mesatarisht p\u00ebr vitin 2024 \u00e7mimet e mallrave dhe sh\u00ebrbimeve jan\u00eb rritur me 2.2 p\u00ebr qind krahasuar me nj\u00eb vit m\u00eb par\u00eb. Sa p\u00ebr krahasim, norma e inflacionit n\u00eb vitin 2023 ishte 5.9 p\u00ebr qind, nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb vitin 2022 ishte 6.9 p\u00ebr qind. Si rezultat i sulmit rus n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb n\u00eb shkurt 2022, \u00e7mimet e produkteve t\u00eb energjis\u00eb u rrit\u00ebn ndjesh\u00ebm. Edhe n\u00eb vitin 2021, inflacioni ishte duksh\u00ebm m\u00eb i lart\u00eb, me nj\u00eb norm\u00eb mesatare prej 3.1 p\u00ebr qind.<\/p>\n
Inflacioni mbi 2 p\u00ebr qind<\/p>\n
Ekonomist\u00ebt presin q\u00eb inflacioni t\u00eb mbetet mbi nivelin e 2 p\u00ebr qind gjat\u00eb vitit 2025. Disa ekspert\u00eb shohin m\u00eb pak hap\u00ebsir\u00eb \u200b\u200bp\u00ebr Bank\u00ebn Qendrore Evropiane (BQE) p\u00ebr t\u00eb ulur normat e interesit. Megjithat\u00eb, asnj\u00eb ekspert nuk pret nj\u00eb val\u00eb t\u00eb re rritjesh t\u00eb \u00e7mimeve, si ato n\u00eb 2022 dhe 2023, kur norma e inflacionit n\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs arriti n\u00eb pothuajse 9 p\u00ebr qind. N\u00eb vend t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj, norma vjetore e inflacionitp\u00ebr vitin 2025 pritet t\u00eb jet\u00eb n\u00eb nivelin e vitit 2024, e disa ekspert\u00eb thon\u00eb se ajo mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb rreth 2.1 p\u00ebr qind.<\/p>\n
Normat m\u00eb t\u00eb larta t\u00eb inflacionit ulin fuqin\u00eb bler\u00ebse t\u00eb konsumator\u00ebve. Inflacioni anulon edhe efektin e rritjes s\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurave. N\u00eb dhjetor m\u00eb s\u00eb shumti jan\u00eb rritur sh\u00ebrbimet me rreth 4.1 p\u00ebr qind. Ushqimet jan\u00eb rritur mesatarisht me rreth 2 p\u00ebr qind. Nd\u00ebrsa \u00e7mimet e karburanteve kan\u00eb r\u00ebn\u00eb me 1.7 p\u00ebr qind. Pavar\u00ebsisht kriz\u00ebs, shum\u00eb ekonomist\u00eb mendojn\u00eb se gjendja do t\u00eb stabilizohet n\u00eb mas\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2025.<\/p>\n
\/DW\/<\/p>\n
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